This system of carefully
screening candidates for mortgages worked effectively in keeping the
number of foreclosures very low for most of the last century. During the
1990's, the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) was used to pressure lenders
to reduce restrictions on the qualifications of buyers in order to
increase the number of home owners, and particularly to assist minorities
and low-income home buyers in purchasing homes. In fact, in 1999, the New
York Times reported "that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were under pressure
from the Clinton administration to increase lending to minorities and
low-income home buyers"
During the beginning of his administration, the 1992 Housing Bill set a
goal for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to have 30% of their home loans be
made to low and moderate income households. In 1996, that number was
raised to 40% and then raised again to 42% in 1997. The GSEs then gave
preferential treatment to mortgage companies and lenders who reduced their
underwriting criteria. Countrywide Financial Corp. was the first to sign
HUD's "Declaration of Fair Lending Principals and Practices."
All this boils down to the fact that these quasi-government institutions
were the largest buyer of loans, and they actively reduced the
restrictions required for obtaining a mortgage. Most lenders followed
suite in order to take advantage of writing more loans and selling them to
these institutions.
Programs became available, through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac lenders and
through Subprime lenders, offering 100% financing, 103% financing and in
some cases, up to 125% financing. The supposed logic behind this idea was
that buyers had decent credit and stable jobs but weren't able to save any
money, so why not loan them the entire amount? Unfortunately, it also
means that these home buyers had little or no money put into the property,
and therefore, little to lose by walking away. It also left no equity for
a lender if the buyer defaulted on the mortgage.
Even that wasn't enough. Programs were created that allowed borrowers to
state their income on applications rather than actually provide proof of
their earnings. In this case, the logic was that self employed people
didn't show all their income, or couldn't prove it readily, so these
individuals could not be turned away from being approved for a mortgage.
The lender would simply charge them a slightly higher interest rate than
the norm for the privilege of "stating" their income.
Lower and lower credit requirements continued to push the pool of
potential home buyers into the depths of unqualified individuals. The
checks and balances of the mortgage industry were totally out of whack
with reality. Low interest rates, combined with low or no down payments
and easy credit with very few verifications is a recipe for mortgage
disaster.
In many cases across the country, there were lenders who were conservative
and unwilling to follow these new reduced guidelines. Some of these banks
and mortgage companies were sued by community action groups claiming they
were discriminating against segments of the population based on archaic
rules. Most lenders gave in, rather than go through the negative
publicity and legal costs associated with continuing along a more
conservative path.
Part of the dramatic rise in prices was directly attributable to the rise
in home ownership. From 1993 to 2005, the percentage of Americans who
owned homes jumped from approximately 63% to approximately 69.2%.
Although that is only a 6% increase, those new homeowners were first time
buyers.
In any given year, approximately 9-10% of the population purchases a home,
and a little better than a third of those buyers are first time home
buyers. When the number of first time home buyers was increased, it
created a huge demand for first time homes, which drove the prices up.
Those home sellers then relocated into "move-up" homes, creating a
significant demand for those. Home owners who planned to never move again
reconsidered. A home owner living in a moderate home and never expecting
to afford a "dream home" now found that "dream home" within range. The
increasing prices of moderate housing, combined with historically low
interest rates created an opportunity to move to a luxury property that
many people never expected to achieve.
Ultimately, the combination of easy credit, low interest rates, high
affordability, low unemployment and high immigration all coalesced to
create one of the highest periods of home appreciation in history. Like
all good things, this too must end.
In September of 2003, Treasury Secretary John Snow went before Congress to
propose a regulatory agency to oversee Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, because
the White House was concerned about their lending policies. Fannie Mae
donated large sums of money to key congress people and no oversight was
established. Congressman Barney Frank replied "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
are not in a crisis". He actually pushed back that Fannie and Freddie
needed to do even more to increase home ownership in America.
Hearings occurred in 2004 and 2005. A second attempt to regulate Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac was also blocked. In hearings, Congresswoman Maxine
Waters stated that she was unhappy they were trying to "fix something that
frankly wasn't broke. Mr. Chairman, we do not have a crisis at Freddie Mac
and particular at Fannie Mae".
I submit that if these programs had not allowed unqualified home buyers to
purchase homes, the housing recession would not have been nearly as
severe. Foreclosures would not be reaching their current levels, and it
is unlikely that housing prices would have dipped as low as they have.
In the mid 1990's, our firm, Century 21 Keim Realtors, began receiving
mortgage company offers that appeared too good to be true. At the time,
mortgages were just beginning to appear that offered low down payments and
the acceptability of buyers with very low credit scores. These loans came
at the price of a high interest rate. If the lender was going to take the
risk of loaning to a borrower with limited qualifications, the borrower
would have to pay a premium for the money. Later programs allowed nearly
anyone to take advantage of low interest loans.
Several of our clients took advantage of these programs and eventually,
after paying on the loan for a year or two and establishing a payment
history, refinanced them to lower rates. As lenders started reducing
restrictions and offering great loan products to buyers, we used those
products instead.
In the late 1990's, I received a call from a reporter who wanted me to
give him a quote before he fried me in the press. I calmly asked what the
problem was, and he replied that our firm had intentionally injured a
client by allowing them to take a higher-than-normal interest rate loan.
That couple and their children were being thrown out into the street
because we had allowed "predatory lenders" to take advantage of the
couple.
The interest rate they had paid was 3% over the prevailing rate at that
time. I explained to the reporter that the buyer had poor credit and no
down payment. The facts were that the buyer was getting into a home with
virtually no money out of pocket and a payment of less than $650 per
month. To rent a home, like the one they purchased, would be likely to
cost $750 per month or more. They were actually able to own a home
cheaper than rent.
They were paying a premium in order to try to earn a piece of the American
dream. Too many people in the country now expect everything to be given
to them. The lender's premium on the mortgage rate was simply a function
of the risk the lender was taking in even writing the loan for this
borrower. I again stressed that despite the rate, the buyer had actually
purchased the home for less per month than they would have paid in rent.
It also tuned out that the buyer wasn't able to pay the mortgage because
the buyer had gone to prison on charges of armed robbery, not because the
payment was too high.
The reporter was shocked that there actually was another side to the story
and that it couldn't easily be spun as mortgage company greed. The
reporter found another story and ran that one instead.
Giving buyers the chance at home ownership is an admirable thing, but it
has to be done with sensible rules that won't destroy our country and our
way of life. Forcing the banking system to give away money to anyone and
then propping it up with government backing by raising taxes is not the
answer.
Please don't misunderstand me. There is plenty of blame to go around.
Mortgage brokers made money in fees by writing loans. Appraisers made
money estimating the value of homes for those mortgage brokers. Financial
institutions made money packaging the loans and selling them to Fannie Mae
or selling them as Mortgage Backed Securities. Even Wall Street Rating
Agencies made money by rating the mortgage backed securities. There is
plenty of guilt to go around, but it starts with government intervention.
The mortgage system is broken and needs to be fixed by people that are not
part of the problem. Congress can't effectively fix the problem, because
they are much of the blame for our current economic situation.
Loren Keim
is the author of "How
to Sell Your Home in Any Market" and "Real
Estate Prospecting: The Ultimate Resource Guide"
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