It's back to basics for Valley real estate agents ** Lower prices, volume have home sellers getting creative, too.

Morning Call, The (Allentown, PA) - Sunday, March 29, 2009
Author: Spencer Soper Of The Morning Call
 
The Lehigh Valley housing market is still searching for bottom, which means the job of helping people buy and sell homes will continue to be much more challenging than it was just a few years ago.

When the market was roaring earlier this decade, sales agents were merely order-takers. They could put a house on the market, wait for the phone to ring, and the biggest challenge was keeping up with the competing offers to make sure the seller could pick the best one.

Today, agents compete for a shrinking number of sales and they have to stretch their creativity to market homes. Prospective sales are also more likely to fall through due to problems getting final mortgage approval or a buyer backing out when a home inspection finds a faulty roof or furnace, local agents say.

So the job requires more finesse and crisis management to see deals through to closing. And sellers' agents offer such things as free vacations or higher commissions for buyers' agents to lure interest.

But the changes brokers need to make are more of a back-to-basics adjustment than an industry-wide reinvention, brokers say.

Brad Patt, senior vice president of Prudential Patt, White Real Estate, said agents have to make sure sellers are realistic about their price and buyers are realistic about their expectations when buying a home that is not new construction. Agents also have to be vigilant about reviewing mortgage information to determine if offers are likely to go through.

"It's a lot of communication, negotiation and education," said Patt, whose firm has about 300 agents. "The most important thing right now is for the agent to get back to basics."

They face a challenging environment.

Lehigh Valley home prices fell in 2008 for the second straight year. The average price for an existing home in the Lehigh Valley was $222,000, down 2.2 percent from the 2007 average of $227,000, according to the Lehigh Valley Association of Realtors.

But for the brokers in the field, who make money when homes sell, even more distressing than marginal price erosion is plunging sales volume. There were 5,632 home sales reported in 2008, down 22.1 percent from the number of sales in 2007. And home-building continues to spiral downward. There were 1,635 single-home building permits issued in the Lehigh Valley in 2008, down more than 60 percent from the 2005 building boom when 4,329 permits were issued, according to U.S. Census data.

Rosemary Scardina, chief executive officer of the Lehigh Valley Association of Realtors, said it is still a favorable market to previous downturns, when high mortgage interest rates shut out many buyers.

"In this market, we have an exceptional buyers market with interest rates extremely low," she said.

Agents have adjusted their marketing techniques, she said. Many offer video tours of properties, which allows prospective buyers anywhere to take a virtual tour of the home. And some agents are working with auctioneers as that method of selling increases in popularity, Scardina said.

"Agents who work with sellers will add things to their repertoire that will help their seller," she said. "They will advise their sellers on extra things they can do, like staging or video tours."

The association has 2,300 members, down about 100 from a year ago, Scardina said.

Economists predict local housing prices will continue to fall, and prices are likely to stagnate for years before they begin ticking upward.

Lehigh Valley home prices increased rapidly earlier this decade, with several years of double-digit gains. From 2001 to their peak year in 2006, home prices soared 68 percent to an average $228,000. Free-flowing credit that allowed people to buy homes with little or no money down and speculation from those looking to buy homes and quickly sell them for profits fueled the upward run.?

But today forces are pushing prices in the other direction. Unemployment is climbing to its highest levels in years and consumer confidence is at record lows. Credit is tougher to obtain, which shuts out prospective buyers. And some buyers able to get loans could be sitting on the sidelines, reluctant to invest in a declining market or at a time when most job sectors are getting slammed by layoffs.

The Lehigh Valley, however, is in better shape than other areas of the nation, such as cities in California and Florida where home prices have plummeted after a much steeper rise. But it still stands in contrast to the go-go run of a few years ago.

Loren Keim , president of Century 21 Keim Realtors in Allentown, said the new market is a wake-up call for new brokers, who haven't faced a tight market.

"A lot of brokers who got into the business in the past seven or eight years have never been through a downturn," said Keim, whose firm has 85 agents. "You have to be able to help people get their thinking into alignment. Owners need to know prices are not where they were two years ago. And sellers, you have to get them to realize they can't offer half the list price and expect to get the house."

spencer.soper@mcall.com

610-820-6694

DOWNWARD TREND

Lehigh Valley home prices have dipped for two years straight after six years of strong gains.

YearPriceChange

1996$116,0001%

1997$124,0006.9%

1998$121,000-2.4%

1999$124,0002.5%

2000$127,0002.4%

2001$136,0007.1%

2002$146,0007.4%

2003$168,00015.1%

2004$184,0009.5%

2005$207,00012.5%

2006$228,00010%

2007$227,000-.5%

2008$222,000-2.2%

Source: Lehigh Valley Association of Realtors
Caption: **1. "IT'S A LOT OF COMMUNICATION, negotiation and education,' said Brad Patt, senior vice president and regional manager of Prudential Patt, White Real Estate. Patt's firm has about 300 agents. **2. REGIONAL LAND DIRECTOR CLAUDE BRADSHAW (left) and sales partner Jeff Colfer from Prudential Patt, White Real Estate, work the phones hard during "Power Hour'. 2 Photos by Rich Schultz, Special to The Morning Call
 
Edition: FIRST
Section: Outlook_2009
Page: B3
Index Terms: BUSINESS ; ECONOMY ; RECESSION ; REAL ESTATE ; MANAGEMENT ; ANALYSIS
Record Number: MERLIN_4341043
Copyright (c) 2009, The Morning Call, Inc.
 
 

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